Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U19 vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Aronson A.
10' Event
Pormeister K.
13' Event
Rodionov F.

AI Match Summary

Levadia U19 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Levadia U19
15%
Draws
37%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U19 have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Model gives Levadia U19 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Levadia U19 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 17%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U19 Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:1
May 23, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Levadia U19
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Levadia U19
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aronson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodionov F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pormeister K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U19 84 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U19 Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U19 scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Tallinna Kalev U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Levadia U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U19 VS Tallinna Kalev U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U19

(Home)
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
31 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 5
Levadia U19
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 28 18 3 7 67:34 57
2 Levadia U19 29 17 2 10 74:52 53
3 Johvi Phoenix 29 16 3 10 68:66 51
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 29 15 4 10 74:59 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 29 13 4 12 83:62 43
8 Tabasalu 29 10 3 16 42:78 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 29 7 5 17 59:75 26
10 Legion 28 3 3 22 25:99 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)