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Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kruusla G.
61' Event
Karpenkov V.
65' Event
Kaasik K.

AI Match Summary

Tartu Kalev in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Levadia U19
15%
Draws
34%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Tartu Kalev.
  • Model gives Levadia U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tartu Kalev have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U19 Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.59 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev
0:5
May 29, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19
2:0
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Tartu Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Bazjukin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kruusla G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U19 76 / 100
Tartu Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U19 Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U19 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Tartu Kalev conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Levadia U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U19 VS Tartu Kalev
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U19

(Home)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Levadia U19
3 : 5
Tulevik
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Tartu Kalev

(Away)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)