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Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia U19 host Tartu Kalev in the Esiliiga B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Levadia U19 have averaged 2.75 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Tartu Kalev's 2.75 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Levadia U19 slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.69 xG vs 2.06) point toward Levadia U19. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia U19
6%
Draws
4%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Levadia U19.
  • Model gives Levadia U19 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Levadia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U19 Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Levadia U19
2:0
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Levadia U19 vs Tartu Kalev
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U19 83 / 100
Tartu Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U19 Tartu Kalev

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U19's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tartu Kalev conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Levadia U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U19 VS Tartu Kalev
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2118112552:3635
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Narva U2117102543:2632
4Parnu JK Vaprus U2118102654:3832
5Johvi Phoenix18101745:4531
6Levadia U191892744:3329
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev18711039:4022
9Tallinna Kalev U2118421237:4214
10Legion17211414:677