Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Elva

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lani G.
20' Event
Kutt V.
59' Event
Pavlovits V.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Levadia U21 and Elva finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Levadia U21
28%
Draws
22%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elva come out ahead of Levadia U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Levadia U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Elva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Elva
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
1:3
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
3:2
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Elva
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Esiliiga
Elva vs Levadia U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlovits V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Elva Compare

Top Goalscorer Lani G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kutt V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 48 / 100
Elva 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Elva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Elva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Levadia U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Elva
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619