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Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2023 Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sakarias A.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Kristal P.
46'
Sub
Velikanov V. In: Sutskov A.
Out: Velikanov V.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2023 game between Levadia U21 and FC Alliance finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Levadia U21
20%
Draws
29%
FC Alliance
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Levadia U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Levadia U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 68%
FC Alliance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 FC Alliance
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 2.12 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.82 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2023 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Levadia U21
1:2
May 29, 2023 Esiliiga
FC Alliance vs Levadia U21
2:6
Mar 9, 2023 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance
4:0
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs FC Alliance
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristal P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Markovskyi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

FC Alliance Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 95 / 100
FC Alliance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 FC Alliance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: FC Alliance conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Levadia U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 7

FC Alliance

(Away)
12 Nov
Flora Tallinn U21
6 : 0
FC Alliance
06 Nov
Levadia U21
2 : 2
FC Alliance
02 Nov
FC Alliance
2 : 0
Elva
29 Oct
FC Alliance
3 : 4
Legion
22 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 0
FC Alliance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nomme Utd 36 28 6 2 114:29 90
2 Viimsi JK 36 21 8 7 67:35 71
3 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 3 11 86:53 69
4 Levadia U21 36 16 9 11 57:46 57
5 Tabasalu 36 18 1 17 81:70 55
6 FC Tallinn 36 16 4 16 72:65 52
7 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 12 5 19 66:82 41
8 Elva 36 12 4 20 45:75 40
9 Legion 36 5 6 25 37:97 21
10 FC Alliance 36 6 2 28 50:123 20
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2023 (Relegation)