Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Volkov A.
Assist: Kouadio E.
62' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Svedovski A.
82' Event
Tsombaljuk S.

AI Match Summary

Maardu Linnameeskond in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Levadia U21
15%
Draws
46%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Levadia U21 have won more games recently than Maardu Linnameeskond.
  • Model gives Levadia U21 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maardu Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21
4:2
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21
3:2
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Levadia U21
2:3
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Volkov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsombaljuk S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 56 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Maardu Linnameeskond has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Levadia U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Maardu Linnameeskond
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0
FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 29 18 5 6 79:39 59
2 Viimsi JK 29 15 5 9 56:29 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 29 14 5 10 70:51 47
4 Elva 29 14 5 10 46:43 47
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 28 10 6 12 50:53 36
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 28 7 7 14 34:62 28
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)