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Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Leis L.
39' Event
Mihhailov V.
56' Event
Lepp S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Levadia U21 and Tallinna Kalev finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Levadia U21
20%
Draws
29%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 have managed 1.96 goals a game lately — Tallinna Kalev are scoring more at 2.28.
  • Win probability leans Levadia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.96 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
May 31, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:4
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Leis L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mihhailov V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 83 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Levadia U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Tallinna Kalev
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
20 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 2
Levadia U21
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Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Kalju U21
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
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