Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Nomme Utd

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lehtmets G.
Assist: Peetson R.
30' Event
Peetson R.
Assist: Skvortsov M.
34'
Sub
Lehtmets G. In: Kirss R.
Out: Lehtmets G.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Nomme Utd finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Levadia
15%
Draws
40%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Nomme Utd on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Levadia Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Nomme Utd
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 2.57 2.33
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
5:0
Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Levadia
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
2:4
Oct 22, 2024 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtmets G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Nomme Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 34 / 100
Nomme Utd 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nomme Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Nomme Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Levadia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Nomme Utd
2.5 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
09 Aug
Levadia
5 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Levadia
30 Jul
Levadia
1 : 3
IFK Goteborg
21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2
Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0
Caernarfon
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
09 Aug
Levadia
5 : 0
Nomme Utd
31 Jul
Nomme Utd
1 : 2
Narva
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
17 Jul
Flora
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
11 Jul
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 21 15 5 1 55:17 50
2 Kalju 22 12 5 5 40:17 41
3 Flora 20 13 0 7 40:21 39
4 Paide Linnameeskond 21 10 5 6 33:28 35
5 Tammeka Tartu 20 9 2 9 23:31 29
6 Parnu JK Vaprus 21 8 3 10 29:39 27
7 Nomme Utd 23 8 1 14 40:54 25
8 Harju JK Laagri 22 8 1 13 32:38 25
9 Kuressaare 22 6 3 13 22:36 21
10 Narva 22 5 1 16 17:50 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)