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Levadia vs Nomme Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Levadia Logo

Levadia

5 - 0
FT
Nomme Utd Logo

Nomme Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lehtmets G.
Assist: Peetson R.
30' Event
Peetson R.
Assist: Skvortsov M.
34'
Sub
Lehtmets G. In: Kirss R.
Out: Lehtmets G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Nomme Utd finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Levadia
15%
Draws
27%
Nomme Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Nomme Utd on wins alone.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Nomme Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Nomme Utd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 23 11
Draws 3 0
Losses 2 17
Goals Scored 3.32 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
5:0
Jun 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Nomme Utd vs Levadia
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
2:4
Oct 22, 2024 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Nomme Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtmets G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Nomme Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Nomme Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Nomme Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Nomme Utd let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Levadia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Nomme Utd
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
07 Oct
Levadia
10 : 0
Keila JK
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
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Nomme Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Sept
Nomme Utd
3 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)