Sport Picks
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
Estonia
Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn 
Match Events
25'
25'
Iboro V.
38'
38'
Skvortsov M.
46'
46'
Sub
Pajo T. In: Lepik M.
Out: Pajo T.
AI Match Summary
Levadia in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Parnu JK Vaprus haven't matched Levadia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Levadia a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Levadia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Levadia Clean Sheet 19%
Parnu JK Vaprus Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Levadia | Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Levadia
1:6
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
2:1
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Meistriliiga
Parnu JK Vaprus vs Levadia
1:3
Aug 22, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Levadia Compare
Top Goalscorer Skvortsov M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tambedou B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Parnu JK Vaprus Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Levadia 85 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Levadia Parnu JK Vaprus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Levadia scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Parnu JK Vaprus let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Levadia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Levadia VS Parnu JK Vaprus
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Levadia
(Home) 21 Jul
IFK Goteborg
1 : 2 Levadia
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0 Caernarfon
09 Jul
Caernarfon
0 : 5 Levadia
04 Jul
Narva
1 : 3 Levadia
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2 Flora
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Levadia
5 : 0 Caernarfon
28 Jun
Levadia
1 : 2 Flora
20 Jun
Levadia
1 : 1 Kalju
09 May
Levadia
3 : 0 Harju JK Laagri
26 Apr
Levadia
7 : 0 Narva
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Parnu JK Vaprus
(Away) 21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
11 Jul
Parnu JK Vaprus
5 : 1 Tammeka Tartu
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
26 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 0 Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
18 Jul
Narva
3 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
04 Jul
Paide Linnameeskond
3 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Jun
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 0 Parnu JK Vaprus
16 May
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2 Parnu JK Vaprus
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levadia | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 46 |
| 2 | Flora | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39:21 | 36 |
| 3 | Kalju | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:16 | 35 |
| 4 | Paide Linnameeskond | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:28 | 32 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28:38 | 26 |
| 6 | Tammeka Tartu | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | 26 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 39:46 | 25 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30:34 | 25 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19:33 | 18 |
| 10 | Narva | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15:47 | 13 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
