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Levadia vs Tammeka Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia host Tammeka Tartu in the Meistriliiga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Levadia have averaged 2.63 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Tammeka Tartu's 1.25 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Levadia slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.00) back Levadia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Levadia
6%
Draws
4%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Levadia have won more games recently than Tammeka Tartu.
  • Model gives Levadia a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Levadia Clean Sheet 20%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Levadia
0:1
Apr 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Levadia
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia vs Tammeka Tartu
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Tammeka Tartu
3:0
Sep 13, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Levadia
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Tammeka Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Tammeka Tartu conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Levadia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Tammeka Tartu
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Parnu JK Vaprus1982927:3526
6Tammeka Tartu1882821:2626
7Nomme Utd19711137:4522
8Harju JK Laagri19711125:3222
9Kuressaare19521219:3317
10Narva19311512:4610