Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026 Levadia Stadium, Levadia
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Gioacchini N.
59'
Sub
Mendieta J. In: Bartolo J.
Out: Mendieta J.
59'
Sub
Tzandaris T. In: Yablonskiy E.
Out: Tzandaris T.

AI Match Summary

Levadiakos in this Greek Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Levadiakos
30%
Draws
30%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levadiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadiakos have won more games recently than Asteras Tripolis.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Levadiakos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Levadiakos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Levadiakos Clean Sheet 68%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadiakos Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.86 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Super League
Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
1:1
Oct 29, 2025 Greek Cup
Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Super League
Levadiakos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadiakos Compare

Top Goalscorer Balzi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.93

Asteras Tripolis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadiakos 41 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadiakos Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadiakos found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Asteras Tripolis has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Levadiakos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadiakos VS Asteras Tripolis
1.86 Goals Scored 1.5
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadiakos

(Home)
06 Aug
Levadiakos
1 : 0
Panetolikos
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
13 May
Levadiakos
3 : 2
OFI Crete
10 May
Volos
0 : 3
Levadiakos
03 May
Levadiakos
5 : 2
Volos
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
31 Jul
Den Haag
0 : 0
Asteras Tripolis
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 4 0 0 18:3 12
2 Levadiakos 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
3 AEK 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
4 Panathinaikos 4 4 0 0 6:2 12
5 Aris 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
6 OFI Crete 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
7 Volos 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
8 PAOK 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
9 Atromitos 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Kifisia 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
12 Panetolikos 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Iraklis FC 4 1 1 2 2:9 4
14 Athens Kallithea 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
15 Ellas Syrou 4 1 0 3 8:13 3
16 AEL Larissa 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Kavala 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Marko 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
19 Ilioupoli 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
20 PAE Egaleo 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)