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Levski Sofia II vs Bistritsa

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Sat, May 16, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levski Sofia II host Bistritsa in the Third League - South-West 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Levski Sofia II have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Bistritsa's 1.07 scored and 2.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Levski Sofia II have won 3 to Bistritsa's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Levski Sofia II. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Levski Sofia II
15%
Draws
0%
Bistritsa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levski Sofia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Levski Sofia II haven't matched Bistritsa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Levski Sofia II a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Levski Sofia II Clean Sheet 20%
Bistritsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levski Sofia II Bistritsa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 1
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Levski Sofia II vs Bistritsa
3:0
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Levski Sofia II
3:1
May 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Levski Sofia II
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Third League - South-West
Levski Sofia II vs Bistritsa
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West
Bistritsa vs Levski Sofia II
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levski Sofia II 85 / 100
Bistritsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levski Sofia II Bistritsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levski Sofia II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bistritsa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Bistritsa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Levski Sofia II found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Levski Sofia II VS Bistritsa
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Levski Sofia II

(Home)
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
08 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
4 : 5
Levski Sofia II
01 Aug
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 0
Levski Sofia II
29 May
Levski Sofia II
0 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
23 May
Kostinbrod
2 : 1
Levski Sofia II
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Bistritsa

(Away)
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
16 May
Levski Sofia II
3 : 0
Bistritsa
09 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
02 May
Slivnishki Geroy
3 : 0
Bistritsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)