Sport Picks
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria
efbet League Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia 
Match Events
22'
22'
Dimitrov K.
Assist: Kusso D.
61'
61'
Sub
Perea J. In: Centelles A.
Out: Perea J.
61'
61'
Sub
Oko-Flex A. In: Reinaldo
Out: Oko-Flex A.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Levski Sofia and Dunav Ruse finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Sofia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Levski Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Levski Sofia come out ahead of Dunav Ruse on wins alone.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Levski Sofia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Levski Sofia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Levski Sofia Clean Sheet 20%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Levski Sofia | Dunav Ruse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.87 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Bulgarian Cup
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1:0
Nov 22, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia
1:3
Oct 31, 2019 efbet League
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
2:0
Jul 15, 2019 efbet League
Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Levski Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Dimitrov K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bouras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.94
Dunav Ruse Compare
Top Goalscorer Minchev D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Levski Sofia 40 / 100
Dunav Ruse 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Levski Sofia Dunav Ruse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Levski Sofia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Levski Sofia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Dunav Ruse conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Levski Sofia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Levski Sofia VS Dunav Ruse
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
63% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Levski Sofia
(Home) 17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1 Salzburg
13 Sept
Botev Vratsa
0 : 0 Levski Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2 Levski Sofia
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Levski Sofia
0 : 1 Salzburg
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Levski Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
18 Aug
Levski Sofia
0 : 0 AEK
Page 1 of 4
Dunav Ruse
(Away) 19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1 Slavia Sofia
31 Aug
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2 Lok. Sofia
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1 Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1 Dunav Ruse
21 Aug
Cherno More
3 : 1 Dunav Ruse
16 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 2 Dunav Ruse
02 Aug
CSKA Sofia
2 : 1 Dunav Ruse
17 Jul
Levski Sofia
2 : 1 Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 13 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
