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Lewes vs Cray Valley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Evans M.

AI Match Summary

Cray Valley in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cray Valley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lewes
30%
Draws
39%
Cray Valley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cray Valley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cray Valley average 1.23 goals a game right now, well clear of Lewes's 1.03.
  • Win probability leans Cray Valley's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lewes Clean Sheet 13%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Cray Valley
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Cray Valley
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Lewes
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Cray Valley
4:1
Feb 4, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Lewes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cray Valley Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 27 / 100
Cray Valley 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Cray Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cray Valley let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Lewes found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lewes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Cray Valley
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
08 Aug
Lewes
0 : 4
Enfield Town
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
25 Apr
Chatham
2 : 1
Lewes
18 Apr
Lewes
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
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Cray Valley

(Away)
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
06 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 2
Cray Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)