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Lewes vs Folkestone

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Odeniran J.
68' Event
Hutchinson J.
71' Event
Hutchinson J.

AI Match Summary

Folkestone in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folkestone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lewes
20%
Draws
40%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folkestone lately — more wins on the board than Lewes.
  • Model gives Folkestone a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Folkestone have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lewes Clean Sheet 18%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Folkestone
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Folkestone
0:5
Oct 21, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Lewes
6:0
Apr 21, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Lewes
2:1
Dec 26, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Folkestone
0:0
Mar 29, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Lewes
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Folkestone Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Odeniran J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 12 / 100
Folkestone 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lewes scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Folkestone let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Lewes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Folkestone
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
11 Aug
Whitehawk
0 : 0
Lewes
08 Aug
Lewes
0 : 4
Enfield Town
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
18 Aug
Maidstone
1 : 1
Folkestone
08 Aug
Folkestone
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
01 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Welling
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1
Folkestone
25 Jul
Sholing
1 : 0
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)