Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lewes vs Sevenoaks

England England

FA Trophy 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Lewes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lewes
15%
Draws
26%
Sevenoaks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lewes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Lewes have managed 1.16 goals a game lately — Sevenoaks are scoring more at 1.29.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Lewes, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lewes Clean Sheet 16%
Sevenoaks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Sevenoaks
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 FA Trophy
Lewes vs Sevenoaks
1:0
Jul 21, 2021 Club Friendly
Sevenoaks vs Lewes
2:4
Sep 7, 2016 FA Cup
Sevenoaks vs Lewes
2:1
Sep 3, 2016 FA Cup
Lewes vs Sevenoaks
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 30 / 100
Sevenoaks 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Sevenoaks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lewes scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Sevenoaks let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lewes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Sevenoaks
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
15 Aug
St. Albans
0 : 2
Lewes
11 Aug
Whitehawk
0 : 0
Lewes
08 Aug
Lewes
0 : 4
Enfield Town
25 Jul
Lewes
1 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
18 Jul
Lewes
2 : 1
Hastings
Page 1 of 7

Sevenoaks

(Away)
14 Jul
Burgess Hill
2 : 1
Sevenoaks
07 Sept
Bognor Regis
3 : 2
Sevenoaks
30 Aug
Folkestone
3 : 0
Sevenoaks
21 Sept
Sevenoaks
1 : 2
Leatherhead
07 Sept
Sevenoaks
3 : 0
Harrow Borough
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Trafford 1
Hebburn Town 2
Witton Albion 3
Stockton 4
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Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
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Bootle -
Grimsby Borough -
Mossley AFC 1
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 7
Tadcaster Albion 0
Widnes FC 2
Skelmersdale 1
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Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
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Bridlington Town 1
Colne 2
Shildon 1
Consett 2
North Shields 3
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Sheffield FC 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ossett United 3
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 2
Glossop North End 1
Clitheroe 2
1874 Northwich 1
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Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
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Coleshill Town 3
Neots 2
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Leek Town -
Stratford -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
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Aylesbury United 0
Evesham 3
Sholing 0
Lymington 1
Gainsborough -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 2
Gresley 0
Loughborough Dynamo 3
Corby 1
Prescot Cables 2
Cleethorpes 1
Brighouse Town 0
Worksop 2
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Daventry 2
Lincoln Utd. 3
Carlton Town 2
Hanley Town 0
Wroxham 4
East Grinstead Town 1
Basildon 0
Lowestoft 2
Nuneaton -
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Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Hinckley LR 4
Cambridge City 4
Yaxley 1
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Kempston 0
Dereham 1
Newcastle Town 0
Spalding United 2
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Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 4
Sporting Khalsa 3
Stamford 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Grantham Town 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 5
Biggleswade FC 2
Barton 0
Chatham 1
Bury Town 1
Stowmarket Town 2
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Bedworth United 0
Harborough 1
Shepshed 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Lancing 1
Cray Valley 4
East Thurrock Utd 3
Sutton Common Rovers 1
Great Wakering 1
Harlow 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Ashford Town 3
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Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
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Welwyn Garden 1
New Salamis FC 2
Gorleston 1
Coggeshall Town 2
South Park 1
Sittingbourne 2
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Burgess Hill 3
Northwood 0
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 1
Ramsgate 0
Hendon -
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Thame United 2
Westbury United 0
Marlow 0
Binfield 4
Haringey Borough -
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Brightlingsea -
Chertsey Town 1
Uxbridge 3
Bedfont Sports 3
Hashtag 2
Walton & Hersham 3
Leatherhead 1
Haywards Heath 0
Southall FC 1
Ashford United 4
Sudbury 3
Three Bridges 3
Hullbridge 2
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Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
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Cray Wanderers -
VCD Athletic 0
Grays 3
Merstham 3
Hythe 0
Romania 2
Westfield 1
Chichester City 0
Faversham 1
Horsham FC -
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Aveley -
Billericay -
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Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 1
Brentwood 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Ware 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
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Hadley 1
Sevenoaks 2
Sheppey United 3
Hertford Town 4
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Beckenham Town 1
Heybridge 2
Chipstead 4
Waltham Abbey 2
Folkestone -
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Tooting & Mitcham 0
Corinthian 1
Tilbury 1
Whitehawk 2
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Slimbridge 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Exmouth Town 0
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Kidlington 0
Tavistock 1
Didcot 2
Hamworthy United 1
Bashley 4
Frome Town 1
Larkhall 0
Melksham 2
Swindon Supermarine -
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Basingstoke 3
Cirencester 5
Highworth 1
Paulton Rovers 2
Wimborne 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Willand Rovers 0
Bideford 3
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Semi-finals
Nantwich -
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Warrington Rylands -
Marine -
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Radcliffe -
Hebburn Town 3
Stockton 1
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Warrington Town -
Ashton United -
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Bootle 0
Dunston 3
Macclesfield 5
Widnes FC 1
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Bamber Bridge -
Hyde -
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Colne 1
Consett 0
North Shields 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Sheffield FC 1
Ossett United 2
Guiseley -
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Whitby -
Morpeth -
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Lancaster -
United of Manchester -
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Liversedge -
Stalybridge -
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South Shields -
Ramsbottom Utd 1
Clitheroe 4
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Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
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Coleshill Town 4
Leek Town 5
Stratford -
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Royston Town -
Leiston -
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Evesham 1
Lymington 0
Gainsborough -
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Barwell -
Long Eaton 0
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Prescot Cables 1
Worksop 3
Coalville Town -
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Ilkeston -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Carlton Town 1
Wroxham 5
Lowestoft 1
Nuneaton -
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Hinckley LR 1
Cambridge City 0
Needham Market -
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Stourbridge -
Hitchin -
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Redditch -
Dereham 0
Spalding United 1
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Stafford -
Belper Town -
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St Ives Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
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Tamworth -
Bromsgrove -
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Boldmere St Michaels 1
Chasetown 2
Matlock -
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Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Halesowen 0
Chatham 0
Stowmarket Town 1
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Mickleover -
Basford Utd. -
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Harborough 2
Shepshed 1
Bedford -
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Alvechurch -
Rushall -
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Hednesford -
Carshalton -
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Cray Valley 5
East Thurrock Utd 3
Harlow 4
Ashford Town 1
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Hornchurch -
Hayes & Yeading -
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New Salamis FC 3
Coggeshall Town 0
Sittingbourne 1
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Littlehampton 2
Hendon -
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Thame United 1
Binfield 2
Haringey Borough -
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Brightlingsea -
Uxbridge 2
Bedfont Sports 0
Walton & Hersham 4
Southall FC 0
Ashford United 2
Three Bridges 0
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Kings Langley -
Hanwell Town -
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Cray Wanderers -
Grays 4
Merstham 1
Romania 2
Faversham 3
Horsham FC -
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Aveley -
Billericay -
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Margate -
Beaconsfield Town -
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Hartley Wintney -
Metropolitan Police -
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Hastings -
FC Witham Town 2
Ware 1
Thatcham 0
AFC Dunstable 3
Lewes -
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Sevenoaks 3
Hertford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals -
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Harrow Borough -
Herne Bay -
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Stortford -
Enfield Town -
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Chesham -
Potters -
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Heybridge 2
Chipstead 1
Folkestone -
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Corinthian 2
Whitehawk 4
Kingstonian -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Bognor Regis -
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Bowers & Pitsea -
Canvey Island -
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Bracknell Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
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Dorchester -
Merthyr Town -
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AFC Totton 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Truro -
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Salisbury -
Yate -
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Weston-super-Mare -
Tavistock 1
Didcot 0
Bashley 2
Melksham 3
Swindon Supermarine -
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Cirencester 3
Paulton Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Bideford 2
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Gosport Borough -
North Leigh -
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Tiverton -
Winchester City -
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Poole Town -
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Final
Nantwich 0
Warrington Rylands 2
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Hebburn Town 1
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 0
Dunston 1
Macclesfield 6
Bamber Bridge 1
Hyde 2
Colne 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ossett United 1
Guiseley 3
Whitby 1
Morpeth 2
Lancaster 3
United of Manchester 0
Liversedge 1
Stalybridge 1
South Shields 2
Clitheroe 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
Leek Town 3
Stratford 1
Royston Town 2
Leiston 1
Evesham 0
Gainsborough 3
Barwell 1
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Worksop 2
Coalville Town 4
Ilkeston 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Wroxham 3
Nuneaton 2
Hinckley LR 0
Needham Market 0
Stourbridge 1
Hitchin 0
Redditch 3
Spalding United 1
Stafford 2
Belper Town 2
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Tamworth 4
Bromsgrove 0
Chasetown 3
Matlock 3
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stowmarket Town 2
Mickleover 1
Basford Utd. 2
Harborough 1
Bedford 0
Alvechurch 3
Rushall 3
Hednesford 4
Carshalton 3
Cray Valley 2
Harlow 3
Hornchurch 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
New Salamis FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Hendon 0
Binfield 1
Haringey Borough 1
Brightlingsea 0
Uxbridge 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Ashford United 1
Kings Langley 2
Hanwell Town 3
Cray Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Faversham 0
Horsham FC 4
Aveley 3
Billericay 2
Margate 0
Beaconsfield Town 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Metropolitan Police 0
Hastings 1
FC Witham Town 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 0
Corinthian-Casuals 2
Harrow Borough 3
Herne Bay 1
Stortford 2
Enfield Town 0
Chesham 4
Potters 0
Heybridge 2
Folkestone 2
Whitehawk 1
Kingstonian 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Bognor Regis 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Canvey Island 1
Bracknell Town 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Merthyr Town 0
AFC Totton 1
Truro 1
Salisbury 0
Yate 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Tavistock 3
Melksham 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Cirencester 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gosport Borough 0
North Leigh 4
Tiverton 3
Winchester City 2
Poole Town 0
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