Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lewes vs Whitehawk Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
West D.
64' Event
Allen A.
78' Event
Unwin B.

AI Match Summary

Lewes in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lewes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lewes
15%
Draws
57%
Whitehawk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Whitehawk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lewes lately — more wins on the board than Whitehawk.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lewes Clean Sheet 15%
Whitehawk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Whitehawk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Lewes
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Whitehawk
3:0
Feb 24, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Lewes
3:1
Jan 21, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Whitehawk vs Lewes
2:1
Aug 26, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Whitehawk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer West D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Whitehawk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 31 / 100
Whitehawk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Whitehawk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Whitehawk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Whitehawk has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Lewes scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Whitehawk's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Whitehawk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
08 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 0
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

Whitehawk

(Away)
29 Sept
Dartford
2 : 1
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Whyteleafe
1 : 4
Whitehawk
15 Sept
Whitehawk
3 : 2
Three Bridges
12 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
3 : 2
Whitehawk
05 Sept
Whitehawk
2 : 4
Eastbourne Borough
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)