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Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bartlett-Antwi R.
42' Event
Paye C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lewes
20%
Draws
52%
Wingate & Finchley
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wingate & Finchley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Wingate & Finchley have won more games recently than Lewes.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lewes Clean Sheet 15%
Wingate & Finchley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes Wingate & Finchley
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.21 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes
3:0
Apr 5, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Lewes vs Wingate & Finchley
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes
2:2
Feb 3, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Wingate & Finchley vs Lewes
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lewes Compare

Top Goalscorer Paye C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Wingate & Finchley Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartlett-Antwi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes 31 / 100
Wingate & Finchley 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes Wingate & Finchley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wingate & Finchley Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lewes scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Wingate & Finchley let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Lewes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes VS Wingate & Finchley
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes

(Home)
03 Oct
Lewes
1 : 0
Whitehawk
26 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Lewes
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Lewes
3 : 0
Carshalton
12 Sept
Chatham
3 : 2
Lewes
Page 1 of 6

Wingate & Finchley

(Away)
03 Oct
Bedford
2 : 2
Wingate & Finchley
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Wingate & Finchley
2 : 1
Hemel Hempstead
19 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
14 Sept
Aveley
3 : 4
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)