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Lewes W vs Denham United W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2013/2014
Sun, Jan 12, 2014
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Lewes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lewes W
20%
Draws
44%
Denham United W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denham United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lewes W come out ahead of Denham United W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lewes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lewes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lewes W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 20%
Denham United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lewes W Denham United W
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 15 3
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.97 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.17 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2014 Women’s FA Cup
Lewes W vs Denham United W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lewes W 85 / 100
Denham United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lewes W Denham United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denham United W let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Lewes W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lewes W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Denham United W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lewes W VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lewes W

(Home)
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
Page 1 of 6

Denham United W

(Away)
12 Nov
Denham United W
2 : 3
Millwall W
12 Jan
Lewes W
1 : 0
Denham United W
01 Dec
Ebbsfleet W
2 : 5
Denham United W
08 Jan
Tottenham W
7 : 0
Denham United W
11 Dec
Norwich W
0 : 3
Denham United W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Manchester City W -
TBD -
Reading W 2
Blackburn W 0
Chelsea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol City W -
Birmingham W -
TBD -
Doncaster W 4
Nuneaton W 1
Arsenal W -
TBD -
Gillingham W 1
Preston W 0
Crystal Palace W 2
Portsmouth W 3
Durham W 3
Sheffield Wed W 1
Notts County W -
TBD -
Coventry United W 2
Brighton W 0
Sunderland W 4
Watford W 1
TBD -
Liverpool W -
Gwalia United W 1
London Bees W 0
TBD -
Everton W -
1/8-finals
Manchester City W 2
Reading W 1
Chelsea W 2
Bristol City W 1
Birmingham W 3
Doncaster W 1
Arsenal W 2
Gillingham W 0
Portsmouth W 2
Durham W 1
Notts County W 2
Coventry United W 1
Sunderland W 0
Liverpool W 2
Gwalia United W 1
Everton W 3
Quarter-finals
Manchester City W 1
Chelsea W 3
Birmingham W 1
Arsenal W 2
Portsmouth W 0
Notts County W 2
Liverpool W 0
Everton W 2
Semi-finals
Chelsea W 3
Arsenal W 5
Notts County W 1
Everton W 2
Final
Arsenal W 2
Everton W 0