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Lexington vs One Knoxville - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Feb 7, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lexington host One Knoxville in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Lexington have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against One Knoxville's 1.69 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, Lexington have won 1 to One Knoxville's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.25) point toward One Knoxville. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Lexington
15%
Draws
31%
One Knoxville
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lexington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Lexington at 1.83 per game, One Knoxville at 1.69.
  • Model gives Lexington a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lexington Clean Sheet 19%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington One Knoxville
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.83 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lexington vs One Knoxville
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 USL League One
Lexington vs One Knoxville
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 USL Cup
Lexington vs One Knoxville
1:0
Jun 8, 2024 USL Cup
One Knoxville vs Lexington
2:0
Mar 23, 2024 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Lexington
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington 85 / 100
One Knoxville 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington One Knoxville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lexington's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: One Knoxville conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lexington stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Lexington VS One Knoxville
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington

(Home)
03 Oct
Lexington
3 : 1
El Paso Locomotive
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Lexington
6 : 0
Orange County SC
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4
Lexington
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
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One Knoxville

(Away)
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Richmond Kickers
3 : 2
One Knoxville
27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0
Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1
One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
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