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Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Hintzen C.
40' Event
Griffith S.
51' Event
Barry C.
Assist: Bourgeois A.

AI Match Summary

Lexington W in this USL Super League Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lexington W
15%
Draws
48%
Dallas Trinity W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dallas Trinity W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lexington W lately — more wins on the board than Dallas Trinity W.
  • Lexington W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Lexington W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lexington W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lexington W Clean Sheet 20%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington W Dallas Trinity W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 17 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
3:0
May 23, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lexington W Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffith S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barry C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Dallas Trinity W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington W 40 / 100
Dallas Trinity W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington W Dallas Trinity W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lexington W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Dallas Trinity W conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lexington W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lexington W VS Dallas Trinity W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
Page 1 of 7

Dallas Trinity W

(Away)
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0
Brooklyn W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lexington W 2
Dallas Trinity W 0
Sporting Jax W 0
Carolina Ascent W 1
Final
Lexington W 3
Carolina Ascent W 1