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Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Cedeno S.
46'
Sub
Shepherd J. In: Nagai A.
Out: Shepherd J.
56' Event
Mccain A.
Assist: Elizabeth Brown A.

AI Match Summary

Lexington W in this USL Super League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lexington W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lexington W
15%
Draws
48%
Dallas Trinity W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dallas Trinity W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Dallas Trinity W haven't matched Lexington W's recent run of results.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Lexington W taking it.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Lexington W Clean Sheet 68%
Dallas Trinity W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington W Dallas Trinity W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
3:0
May 23, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
2:0
Mar 19, 2026 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs Dallas Trinity W
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Dallas Trinity W vs Lexington W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lexington W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mccain A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barry C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dallas Trinity W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington W 59 / 100
Dallas Trinity W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington W Dallas Trinity W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lexington W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Dallas Trinity W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Lexington W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lexington W VS Dallas Trinity W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
Page 1 of 6

Dallas Trinity W

(Away)
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
06 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
3 : 0
Brooklyn W
29 Aug
Sporting Jax W
2 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)