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Lexington W vs DC Power W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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USL Super League Women Toyota Stadium, Georgetown, KY
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Abera L.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Abera L.
45'
Sub
Aylmer T. In: Johnson H.
Out: Aylmer T.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women game between Lexington W and DC Power W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward DC Power W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lexington W
30%
Draws
37%
DC Power W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: DC Power W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Lexington W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lexington W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular USL Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Lexington W Clean Sheet 68%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lexington W DC Power W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.68 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs DC Power W
1:2
Apr 1, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Lexington W
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs DC Power W
2:2
Sep 12, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Lexington W
0:0
May 31, 2025 USL Super League Women
Lexington W vs DC Power W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lexington W Compare

Top Goalscorer Midgley M. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

DC Power W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abera L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colton E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lexington W 50 / 100
DC Power W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lexington W DC Power W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lexington W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lexington W found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

DC Power W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lexington W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lexington W VS DC Power W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lexington W

(Home)
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
25 Sept
Lexington W
3 : 0
Dallas Trinity W
20 Sept
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Lexington W
11 Sept
Lexington W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
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DC Power W

(Away)
22 Sept
DC Power W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
13 Sept
Dallas Trinity W
2 : 1
DC Power W
04 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Sporting Jax W
29 Aug
Lexington W
1 : 2
DC Power W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
3 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
4 Lexington W 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
5 Dallas Trinity W 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
7 Brooklyn W 7 2 0 5 5:14 6
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 7 1 0 6 4:11 3
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)