Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Brisbane Road, London

Leyton Orient

1 - 0

Aston Villa U21

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Sub

Lloyd A. In: Gordon L.

Out: Lloyd A.

46'

Sub

White J. In: Obiero Z.

Out: White J.

58'

Sub

Wilson R. In: Cotcher M.

Out: Wilson R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leyton Orient in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Leyton Orient

30%

Draws

39%

Aston Villa U21

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence

Leyton Orient have won more games recently than Aston Villa U21.
Model gives Leyton Orient a 31% chance of winning this.
Leyton Orient have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Leyton Orient, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 14%

Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leyton Orient	Aston Villa U21
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.55	1.73
Goals Conceded	1.17	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	2.19	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 EFL Trophy

Leyton Orient vs Aston Villa U21

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leyton Orient Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaiyesimi D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.68

Avg xA / game 1.09

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leyton Orient 39 / 100

Aston Villa U21 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leyton Orient Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leyton Orient Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leyton Orient's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aston Villa U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Leyton Orient stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leyton Orient VS Aston Villa U21

1.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Leyton Orient

(Home)

19 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 0

Stevenage

15 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 2

Arsenal U21

12 Sept

Leyton Orient

2 : 3

Wycombe

08 Sept

Leyton Orient

1 : 3

Bradford City

05 Sept

Luton

1 : 1

Leyton Orient

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Aston Villa U21

(Away)

22 Sept

Crewe

4 : 1

Aston Villa U21

18 Sept

Aston Villa U21

2 : 2

Middlesbrough U21

15 Sept

Aston Villa U21

5 : 1

Real Sociedad B

11 Sept

Fulham U21

3 : 3

Aston Villa U21

02 Sept

Aston Villa U21

0 : 4

Brondby U21

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