Sport Picks
Leyton Orient vs Oxford Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
EFL Cup Brisbane Road, London 
Match Events
27'
27'
Stevens F.
36'
36'
Emakhu A.
62'
62'
Sub
Dembele S. In: O'Donkor G.
Out: Dembele S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oxford Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Oxford Utd have won more games recently than Leyton Orient.
- Model gives Oxford Utd a 59% chance of winning this.
- Oxford Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Oxford Utd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 15%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leyton Orient | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Leyton Orient vs Oxford Utd
2:0
Feb 24, 2024 League One
Oxford Utd vs Leyton Orient
1:2
Nov 11, 2023 League One
Leyton Orient vs Oxford Utd
2:3
Aug 30, 2022 EFL Trophy
Oxford Utd vs Leyton Orient
5:0
Mar 12, 2016 League Two
Oxford Utd vs Leyton Orient
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leyton Orient Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitchell D.
1 Goals Assists Leader El Mizouni I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Oxford Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leyton Orient 11 / 100
Oxford Utd 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leyton Orient Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oxford Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leyton Orient found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Oxford Utd let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Leyton Orient went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Leyton Orient VS Oxford Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Leyton Orient
(Home) 03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 Plymouth
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3 Wycombe
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2 Plymouth
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
15 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 2 Arsenal U21
12 Sept
Leyton Orient
2 : 3 Wycombe
08 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 Bradford City
Page 1 of 3
Oxford Utd
(Away) 06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Exeter
3 : 2 Oxford Utd
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Fleetwood Town 1
Sheffield Utd 0
Ipswich 2
Arsenal 4
Manchester City 5
Norwich 0
Manchester United 2
Brighton 3
Everton 1
Wolves 0
Millwall 0
Newcastle Utd 1
Sunderland 1
Hull City 0
Reading 1
Brentford 2
Liverpool 3
Tottenham 1
Chelsea 6
Leeds 3
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 3
Peterborough 4
Barnsley 3
West Ham 2
Fulham 3
Crystal Palace 3
Middlesbrough 0
Bournemouth 4
Lincoln City 0
Coventry 1
Aston Villa 3
1/8-finals
Fleetwood Town -
Arsenal -
Manchester City -
Brighton -
Everton -
Newcastle Utd -
Sunderland -
Brentford -
Liverpool -
Chelsea -
Bradford City -
Peterborough -
Fulham -
Crystal Palace -
Bournemouth -
Aston Villa -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
