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Stadium Background

Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Li Tixiang
19'
Felipe
21' Event
Xiang Yuwang

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Liaoning Tieren and Chongqing Tonglianglong finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liaoning Tieren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Liaoning Tieren
33%
Draws
27%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Liaoning Tieren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chongqing Tonglianglong have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Liaoning Tieren are scoring more at 2.13.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Liaoning Tieren taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 68%
Chongqing Tonglianglong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Chongqing Tonglianglong
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Super League
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
4:2
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Liaoning Tieren
2:1
Jul 7, 2024 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Chongqing Tonglianglong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kouame A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Chongqing Tonglianglong Compare

Top Goalscorer Xiang Yuwang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 50 / 100
Chongqing Tonglianglong 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Chongqing Tonglianglong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Liaoning Tieren scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Liaoning Tieren remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Chongqing Tonglianglong has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Chongqing Tonglianglong
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Zhejiang Professional1874726:3120
9Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
10Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
11Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1863929:3114
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348