Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liaoning Tieren vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

China China

League One 2025 Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Liu Langzhou
46'
Sub
Chen Quanjiang In: Asamoah S.
Out: Chen Quanjiang
60'
Sub
Ning An In: Yang Jingfan
Out: Ning An

AI Match Summary

Liaoning Tieren in this League One 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liaoning Tieren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Liaoning Tieren
20%
Draws
64%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Liaoning Tieren lately — more wins on the board than Guangxi Pingguo Haliao.
  • Model gives Liaoning Tieren a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 18%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.35 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Liaoning Tieren
0:3
Jul 14, 2024 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 League One
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao vs Liaoning Tieren
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbenza G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 41 / 100
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liaoning Tieren scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Liaoning Tieren

(Home)
12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0
Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1
Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4
Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 7

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

(Away)
08 Nov
Shaanxi Union
5 : 1
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
01 Nov
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
2 : 1
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
26 Oct
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
0 : 2
Yanbian Longding
19 Oct
Nantong Zhiyun
3 : 0
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
12 Oct
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 1
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liaoning Tieren 30 20 8 2 64:27 68
2 Chongqing Tonglianglong 30 18 6 6 52:32 60
3 Guangdong GZ-Power 30 18 6 6 55:35 60
4 Yanbian Longding 30 16 7 7 43:25 55
5 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 30 12 11 7 39:31 47
6 Dingnan Ganlian 30 11 11 8 40:35 44
7 Nantong Zhiyun 30 12 7 11 44:31 43
8 Dalian Kun City 30 11 9 10 42:38 42
9 Shaanxi Union 30 10 9 11 48:47 39
10 Suzhou Dongwu 30 9 11 10 25:28 38
11 Nanjing City 30 9 9 12 40:48 36
12 Shanghai Jiading Huilong 30 8 6 16 26:44 30
13 Foshan Nanshi 30 7 8 15 27:49 29
14 Shenzhen Juniors 30 8 4 18 38:60 28
15 Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 30 6 7 17 24:47 25
16 Qingdao Red Lions 30 2 7 21 20:50 13
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Relegation - League Two (Main)