Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu

China China

Super League Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Sub
Wei Zixian In: Li Hailong
Out: Wei Zixian
16'
Sub
Strandberg C. In: Song Wenjie
Out: Strandberg C.
18'
Sub
Mawlanniyaz D. In: Gao Jiarun
Out: Mawlanniyaz D.

AI Match Summary

Liaoning Tieren in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liaoning Tieren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Liaoning Tieren
33%
Draws
40%
Qingdao Hainiu
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Qingdao Hainiu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Liaoning Tieren lately — more wins on the board than Qingdao Hainiu.
  • Win probability leans Qingdao Hainiu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 10%
Qingdao Hainiu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning Tieren Qingdao Hainiu
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
2:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 League One
Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren
2:0
Nov 9, 2022 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Qingdao Hainiu
0:3
Sep 28, 2019 League Two
Qingdao Hainiu vs Liaoning Tieren
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning Tieren Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbenza G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Qingdao Hainiu Compare

Top Goalscorer Yeboah Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning Tieren 26 / 100
Qingdao Hainiu 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning Tieren Qingdao Hainiu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qingdao Hainiu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

Liaoning Tieren's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Liaoning Tieren has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liaoning Tieren VS Qingdao Hainiu
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chengdu Rongcheng18133238:1742
2Chongqing Tonglianglong1877422:2028
3Dalian Yingbo1781825:3125
4Shandong Taishan1893634:3124
5Yunnan Yukun1873834:3324
6Qingdao West Coast1859422:2824
7Beijing Guoan1775529:2321
8Liaoning Tieren1762924:2920
9Shenzhen Xinpengcheng18621025:3120
10Shanghai Shenhua1785436:2719
11Zhejiang Professional1764723:2917
12Shanghai Port1755726:2415
13Henan Songshan Longmen1763818:2215
14Qingdao Hainiu1763827:2814
15Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1746722:228
16Wuhan Three Towns1727824:348