Sport Picks
Liaoning Tieren vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
China
Super League Olympic Sports Centre Stadium, Shenyang 
Match Events
11'
11'
Jeffinho
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Ademi A.
Assist: Wesley Moraes
32'
32'
Yang Yiming
AI Match Summary
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shenzhen Xinpengcheng.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
35%
56%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Shenzhen Xinpengcheng lately — more wins on the board than Liaoning Tieren.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Shenzhen Xinpengcheng taking it.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Liaoning Tieren Clean Sheet 14%
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Liaoning Tieren | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Super League
Liaoning Tieren vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 League One
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
1:0
Jul 8, 2023 League One
Liaoning Tieren vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0:2
Jul 1, 2022 League One
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Liaoning Tieren
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Liaoning Tieren Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Compare
Top Goalscorer Ademi A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jiang Zhipeng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Liaoning Tieren 19 / 100
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Liaoning Tieren Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Liaoning Tieren scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Liaoning Tieren remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Liaoning Tieren VS Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Liaoning Tieren
(Home) 12 Sept
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
06 Sept
Yunnan Yukun
5 : 0 Liaoning Tieren
29 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng
2 : 1 Liaoning Tieren
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
4 : 4 Henan Songshan Longmen
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
02 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1 Shanghai Shenhua
25 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
0 : 1 Qingdao West Coast
04 Jul
Liaoning Tieren
3 : 1 Chongqing Tonglianglong
Page 1 of 3
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
(Away) 09 Oct
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
2 : 2 Henan Songshan Longmen
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
28 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
0 : 1 Shanghai Port
22 Aug
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
1 : 1 Zhejiang Professional
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Shandong Taishan
1 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
15 Aug
Liaoning Tieren
1 : 2 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
07 Aug
Beijing Guoan
4 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
26 Jul
Yunnan Yukun
4 : 3 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
21 Jul
Shanghai Port
2 : 1 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51:30 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | 41 |
| 3 | Dalian Yingbo | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38:42 | 40 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54:51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31:32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46:43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52:46 | 31 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 31 |
| 10 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27:32 | 31 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:32 | 25 |
| 14 | Liaoning Tieren | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34:47 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39:46 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | 14 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - League One 2027 (Main)
