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Liaoning W vs Guangdong Meizhou W

China China

Super League Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liaoning W play Guangdong Meizhou W in the Super League Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Liaoning W averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.69 conceded. Guangdong Meizhou W averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Liaoning W won 3, Guangdong Meizhou W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Liaoning W and 0.63 for Guangdong Meizhou W. This points to a Liaoning W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Liaoning W
19%
Draws
26%
Guangdong Meizhou W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Liaoning W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Liaoning W picked up more points recently compared to Guangdong Meizhou W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Liaoning W Clean Sheet 29%
Guangdong Meizhou W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liaoning W Guangdong Meizhou W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
Liaoning W vs Guangdong Meizhou W
2:0
Jul 23, 2025 Super League Women
Liaoning W vs Guangdong Meizhou W
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 Super League Women
Guangdong Meizhou W vs Liaoning W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liaoning W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabre N. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Guangdong Meizhou W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liaoning W 55 / 100
Guangdong Meizhou W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liaoning W Guangdong Meizhou W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liaoning W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Liaoning W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Liaoning W attacking → ← attacking Guangdong Meizhou W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liaoning W scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Guangdong Meizhou W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Liaoning W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guangdong Meizhou W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 36
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Beijing Beikong W22125533:1841
2Liaoning W22117430:1740
3Jiangsu Suning W22117430:2040
4Shanghai RCB W22812233:1736
5Wuhan Jiangda W22113832:3136
6Shandong Sports Lottery W22105732:2535
7Changchun Dazhong W2297628:2234
8Guangdong Meizhou W2285929:2929
9Zhejiang W2267926:3325
10Shaanxi Changan W22371217:3416
11Yongchuan Chashan W22361314:3415
12Henan Songshan Longmen W22171418:4210