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Liberia vs Mauritania

World World

Friendly International
Fri, Mar 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Liberia host Mauritania in the Friendly International. Little to choose between these two on current form. Liberia have averaged 0.75 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Mauritania's 0.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Mauritania slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.63) point toward Liberia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Liberia
39%
Draws
31%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Mauritania haven't matched Liberia's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Liberia Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia Mauritania
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Liberia
0:0
Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Mauritania
0:0
Jun 11, 2021 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Liberia
1:0
Jul 23, 2017 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Liberia
0:1
Jul 16, 2017 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Mauritania
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 31 / 100
Mauritania 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Difficult form: Mauritania registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mauritania let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Mauritania
0.75 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
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Mauritania

(Away)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
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