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Liberia vs Mauritania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International
Liberia Logo

Liberia

Fri, Mar 27, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Mauritania Logo

Mauritania

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Liberia host Mauritania in the Friendly International. Little to choose between these two on current form. Liberia have averaged 0.96 scored and 1.56 conceded recently, against Mauritania's 0.77 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Mauritania slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 9, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 0.69) point toward Mauritania. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Liberia
20%
Draws
51%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mauritania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberia haven't matched Mauritania's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Liberia Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberia Mauritania
Matches Played 25 26
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.96 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.56 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Liberia
0:0
Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Mauritania
0:0
Jun 11, 2021 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Liberia
1:0
Jul 23, 2017 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Liberia
0:1
Jul 16, 2017 African Nations Championship
Liberia vs Mauritania
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 32 / 100
Mauritania 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberia Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Mauritania has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Liberia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Mauritania
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1
Mali
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
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Mauritania

(Away)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
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