Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Samuel Kanyon Doe Sports Complex, Monrovia

Liberia

1 - 0

Togo

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Boma K. In: Djene

Out: Boma K.

57'

Sub

Ernest E. In: Gibson W.

Out: Ernest E.

64'

Sub

Agbagno Y. In: Annor Y.

Out: Agbagno Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Liberia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Liberia

30%

Draws

51%

Togo

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Togo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Togo come out ahead of Liberia on wins alone.
Win probability leans Togo's way, sitting at 60%.
Togo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Liberia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Liberia Clean Sheet 22%

Togo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Liberia	Togo
Matches Played	24	28
Wins	6	7
Draws	7	12
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	1.58	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	0.44	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Liberia vs Togo

1:0

Sep 6, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Togo vs Liberia

1:1

Jun 5, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations

Liberia vs Togo

2:2

Jun 14, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations

Togo vs Liberia

2:1

Sep 4, 2005 World Championship

Togo vs Liberia

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberia 21 / 100

Togo 68 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Liberia Togo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Togo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Liberia scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

Togo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Liberia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liberia VS Togo

0.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

38% Over 1.5 38%

13% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberia

(Home)

25 Sept

Rwanda

3 : 1

Liberia

09 Jun

Liberia

3 : 1

Sierra Leone

06 Jun

Sierra Leone

1 : 0

Liberia

31 Mar

Liberia

2 : 2

Libya

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

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Togo

(Away)

25 Sept

Togo

1 : 0

Burundi

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Central Africa

1 : 1

Togo

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

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