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Liberta vs Grenades

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 game between Liberta and Grenades finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Liberta
15%
Draws
80%
Grenades
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Grenades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Grenades carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Grenades are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Liberta Clean Sheet 11%
Grenades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberta Grenades
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 26
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 1.43 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Liberta
5:1
Jan 28, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Grenades vs Liberta
4:1
Oct 28, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Grenades
2:2
Feb 17, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Grenades
3:0
Dec 9, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Grenades
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberta 10 / 100
Grenades 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberta Grenades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Liberta scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Grenades let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Liberta went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Grenades
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberta

(Home)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 6

Grenades

(Away)
10 May
Grenades
3 : 1
All Saints United
03 May
Grenades
1 : 0
Pigotts Bullets
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Grenades
4 : 0
Attacking Saints
14 Apr
Grenades
3 : 1
Garden Stars
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liberta 18 10 4 4 27:14 34
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 10 3 5 36:25 33
3 Grenades 18 10 2 6 25:17 32
4 Old Road 18 10 1 7 35:22 31
5 Parham 18 8 2 8 27:29 26
6 Swetes 18 6 6 6 38:34 24
7 Five Islands 18 7 3 8 27:29 24
8 Tryum 18 5 5 8 24:29 20
9 SAP 18 6 0 12 26:47 18
10 Aston Villa 18 4 2 12 18:37 14
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2018/2019 (Relegation)