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Liberta vs Parham

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Parham in this ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Liberta
20%
Draws
64%
Parham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Parham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parham lately — more wins on the board than Liberta.
  • Win probability leans Parham's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Liberta Clean Sheet 20%
Parham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberta Parham
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
7:1
Jan 14, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
2:2
Mar 1, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Parham
4:4
Nov 4, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
1:1
Mar 17, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Parham vs Liberta
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberta 10 / 100
Parham 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberta Parham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parham let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Liberta scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Parham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Parham
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberta

(Home)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
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Parham

(Away)
30 Mar
Potters FC
1 : 5
Parham
24 Mar
Old Road
7 : 2
Parham
09 Mar
Garden Stars
1 : 0
Parham
01 Mar
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Parham
15 Feb
Five Islands
4 : 2
Parham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parham 18 14 2 2 45:15 44
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 11 4 3 41:16 37
3 Grenades 18 10 6 2 33:19 36
4 Old Road 18 9 5 4 40:27 32
5 Empire FC 18 6 5 7 31:29 23
6 Pigotts Bullets 18 7 2 9 22:27 23
7 Tryum 18 5 4 9 23:35 19
8 SAP 18 5 3 10 24:33 18
9 Liberta 18 4 0 14 15:46 12
10 Glanvilles FC 18 2 3 13 18:45 9
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 (Relegation)