Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Tigo La Huerta

Libertad Asuncion

2 - 3

Independiente del Valle

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Gonzalez C.

Assist: Loor L.

37'

Melgarejo L.

Assist: Carrizo F.

46'

Sub

Franco I. In: Fernandez M.

Out: Franco I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente del Valle in this Copa Libertadores matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente del Valle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Libertad Asuncion

Draws

90%

Independiente del Valle

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independiente del Valle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Independiente del Valle lately — more wins on the board than Libertad Asuncion.
Model gives Independiente del Valle a 90% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Libertadores fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 66%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 10%

Independiente del Valle Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Libertad Asuncion	Independiente del Valle
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	10	20
Draws	4	2
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	1.43	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.43	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.43	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.43	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Asuncion

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente del Valle

Possession: 60% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgarejo L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.1

Avg xA / game 0.71

Independiente del Valle Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.

3 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 10 / 100

Independiente del Valle 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Libertad Asuncion Independiente del Valle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Libertad Asuncion's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Independiente del Valle has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Libertad Asuncion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libertad Asuncion VS Independiente del Valle

1.43 Goals Scored 2.25

1.43 Goals Conceded 1

57% Over 1.5 75%

57% Over 2.5 63%

43% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0