Sport Picks
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asunción 
Match Events
25'
25'
Campuzano A.
33'
33'
Alfonso F.
45'
45'
Rodriguez Armoa A. F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Libertad Asuncion haven't matched Olimpia Asuncion's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 12%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad Asuncion | Olimpia Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 37 |
| Wins | 16 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
3:2
Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Olimpia Asuncion
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Libertad Asuncion Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Olimpia Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Alfonso F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Libertad Asuncion 30 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Libertad Asuncion Olimpia Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Olimpia Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Libertad Asuncion scored in 73% of their last 33 games.
Olimpia Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 37 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Libertad Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Libertad Asuncion VS Olimpia Asuncion
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Libertad Asuncion
(Home) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 7
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2 Rubio Nu
24 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
10 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
Olimpia Asuncion
(Away) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 8
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
26 Aug
Cristobal Colon FC
3 : 5 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
