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Libertad FC vs Vaca Diez

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2022
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AI Match Summary

Vaca Diez in this Nacional B 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaca Diez.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Libertad FC
17%
Draws
13%
Vaca Diez
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Libertad FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Libertad FC haven't matched Vaca Diez's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Libertad FC a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Libertad FC Clean Sheet 11%
Vaca Diez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad FC Vaca Diez
Matches Played 10 32
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.33 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Vaca Diez vs Libertad FC
2:1
Jul 24, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Libertad FC vs Vaca Diez
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad FC 65 / 100
Vaca Diez 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad FC Vaca Diez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vaca Diez conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Libertad FC scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vaca Diez's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Libertad FC VS Vaca Diez
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad FC

(Home)
28 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
7 : 1
Libertad FC
21 Sept
Libertad FC
1 : 0
3 de Febrero
13 Sept
Libertad FC
2 : 1
Deportivo Shalon
06 Sept
3 de Febrero
2 : 1
Libertad FC
01 Sept
Deportivo Shalon
2 : 1
Libertad FC
Page 1 of 2

Vaca Diez

(Away)
21 Sept
Vaca Diez
0 : 0
Wilstermann Cooperativas
15 Sept
Vaca Diez
1 : 3
3 de Febrero
06 Sept
Academia del Balompie
5 : 0
Vaca Diez
31 Aug
3 de Febrero
3 : 0
Vaca Diez
25 Aug
Vaca Diez
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Libertad Gran Mamore640218:412
2Universitario Beni631210:910
3Alianza Beni62138:187
43 de Febrero62047:126
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stormers SC651023:316
2Mojocoya640211:912
3Morro Municipal621311:67
4Real Candua60065:320
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cochabamba63309:612
2Enrique Happ632111:411
3Nueva Cliza62317:59
4Real Mizque60065:170
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fatic660023:418
2Academia del Balompie64029:512
3Maestranza62048:156
4GAM Sica Sica60064:200
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Oruro651020:416
2Sur-Car641115:813
3Deportivo Shalon62048:126
4Municipal Challapata60064:230
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vaca Diez43108:510
2Mariscal Sucre421114:47
3Libertad FC40042:150
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wilstermann Cooperativas63127:310
2Cerveceria63129:710
3Deportivo Juva62227:78
423 de Marzo62048:146
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Destroyers632112:1011
224 de Septiembre631210:510
3Atletico Warnes61325:106
4Argentinos Juniors612310:125
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Garcia Agreda42025:46
2Atletico Bermejo41215:55
3Comercio Bermejo41215:65
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)
Promotion - Nacional B 2022 (Second stage)