Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Libertad vs Delfin

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Caicedo B.
36'
Caicedo E.
37'
Sub
Caicedo B. In: Castro S.
Out: Caicedo B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Libertad and Delfin finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Libertad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Libertad
30%
Draws
37%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Libertad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Libertad's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Libertad Clean Sheet 20%
Delfin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad Delfin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Delfin
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Libertad
0:0
Sep 2, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Libertad
0:0
May 11, 2025 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Delfin
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Delfin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Delfin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad 42 / 100
Delfin 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Delfin has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Libertad remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Libertad VS Delfin
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad

(Home)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
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Delfin

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)