Sport Picks
Libertad vs Dep. Cuenca
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne 
AI Match Summary
Libertad play Dep. Cuenca in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Libertad averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Dep. Cuenca averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Libertad won 2, Dep. Cuenca won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Libertad and 1.31 for Dep. Cuenca. This points to a Dep. Cuenca double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Libertad picked up more points recently compared to Dep. Cuenca.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Libertad | Dep. Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Libertad Compare
Dep. Cuenca Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Libertad scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Dep. Cuenca let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Libertad went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Dep. Cuenca lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7:19 | 12 |