Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Libertad vs Guayaquil City

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Mancilla P.
45'
Caicedo B.
46'
Sub
Coronel D. In: Rodriguez Perlaza J. G.
Out: Coronel D.

AI Match Summary

Guayaquil City in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guayaquil City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Libertad
20%
Draws
38%
Guayaquil City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guayaquil City lately — more wins on the board than Libertad.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Libertad taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Libertad Clean Sheet 20%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libertad Guayaquil City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Guayaquil City
0:1
Oct 10, 2023 Liga Pro
Libertad vs Guayaquil City
1:0
May 6, 2023 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Libertad
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad 42 / 100
Guayaquil City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libertad Guayaquil City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Guayaquil City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Libertad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Libertad VS Guayaquil City
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2U. Catolica2095631:1832
3Aucas1995521:1932
4Barcelona SC1987421:1431
5Macara2085721:2129
6LDU Quito2084819:1628
7Dep. Cuenca2084819:2328
8Leones del Norte2076721:2027
9Emelec1976616:1727
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Delfin2065913:1923
14Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
15Libertad1956818:2521
16Manta1934127:2413