Sport Picks

Ecuador

Liga Pro 2025 Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne

Libertad

2 - 1

LDU Quito

Our Tip

Match Events

Estrada M.

Assist: Quintero J.

18'

Arboleda C.

(Penalty)

28'

Quinonez L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro 2025 game between Libertad and LDU Quito finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Libertad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Libertad

28%

Draws

50%

LDU Quito

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: LDU Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and LDU Quito come out ahead of Libertad on wins alone.
50% — that's where the model lands on LDU Quito taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Libertad Clean Sheet 17%

LDU Quito Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Libertad	LDU Quito
Matches Played	27	34
Wins	5	17
Draws	9	7
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	0.75	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs Libertad

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Mar 8, 2026 Liga Pro

Libertad vs LDU Quito

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Dec 14, 2025 Liga Pro

Libertad vs LDU Quito

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Nov 9, 2025 Liga Pro

LDU Quito vs Libertad

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Sep 13, 2025 Liga Pro

Libertad vs LDU Quito

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libertad Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

LDU Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libertad 23 / 100

LDU Quito 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Libertad LDU Quito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LDU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libertad's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

LDU Quito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Libertad remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Libertad VS LDU Quito

0.75 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	40	23	13	4	67:30	82
2	LDU Quito	40	19	12	9	68:41	69
3	Barcelona SC	40	19	10	11	56:47	67
4	U. Catolica	40	14	16	10	67:50	58
5	Orense	40	16	10	14	44:48	58
6	Libertad	40	14	14	12	54:51	56