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Liberte vs Urana

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Super Ligue 2025/2026
Liberte Logo

Liberte

3 - 1
FT
Urana Logo

Urana

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue 2025/2026 game between Liberte and Urana finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Liberte
35%
Draws
37%
Urana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Urana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Urana come out ahead of Liberte on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Liberte's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Liberte Clean Sheet 20%
Urana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liberte Urana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Super Ligue
Urana vs Liberte
0:0
May 17, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Urana
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs Liberte
2:0
Jun 11, 2025 Super Ligue
Urana vs Liberte
0:0
Dec 31, 2024 Super Ligue
Liberte vs Urana
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liberte 42 / 100
Urana 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liberte Urana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urana has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Liberte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Liberte scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Liberte VS Urana
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Liberte

(Home)
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
04 Sept
Liberte
0 : 2
Sahel
18 Jun
Olympic Niamey
1 : 1
Liberte
09 Jun
Liberte
2 : 2
Renaissance
03 Jun
Sahel
1 : 2
Liberte
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Urana

(Away)
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
06 Sept
Urana
2 : 1
AS UAM
20 Jun
US Gendarmerie
0 : 0
Urana
17 Jun
Tagour
3 : 0
Urana
04 Jun
Urana
1 : 0
AS UAM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)