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Stadium Background

Libourne vs Bergerac

France France

National 2 - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Glao D.
37' Event
Glao D.
81' Event
Escarpit R.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group B 2023/2024 game between Libourne and Bergerac finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergerac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Libourne
20%
Draws
51%
Bergerac
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bergerac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Libourne come out ahead of Bergerac on wins alone.
  • Libourne are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bergerac have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Libourne Clean Sheet 20%
Bergerac Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libourne Bergerac
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.7 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Libourne vs Bergerac
0:3
Feb 9, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Bergerac vs Libourne
0:0
Jan 7, 2024 Coupe de France
Bergerac vs Libourne
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libourne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Bergerac Compare

Top Goalscorer Glao D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Escarpit R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libourne 36 / 100
Bergerac 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libourne Bergerac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libourne's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bergerac conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Libourne has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergerac
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libourne

(Home)
18 May
Libourne
2 : 5
Saumur Olympique
11 May
Les Herbiers
2 : 2
Libourne
27 Apr
Libourne
0 : 3
Bergerac
20 Apr
Paris 13 Atletico
3 : 0
Libourne
13 Apr
Libourne
2 : 0
Romorantin
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Bergerac

(Away)
17 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Le Puy-en-Velay
10 May
Rumilly Vallieres
2 : 2
Bergerac
03 May
Bergerac
1 : 0
Andrezieux
25 Apr
Cannes
7 : 0
Bergerac
19 Apr
Bergerac
1 : 2
Toulon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paris 13 Atletico 26 13 9 4 41:24 48
2 La Roche Vendee 26 13 9 4 40:19 48
3 Libourne 26 10 10 6 44:35 40
4 Saint-Pryve 26 10 8 8 32:27 38
5 Bergerac 26 10 10 6 36:29 37
6 Angouleme CFC 26 10 7 9 33:32 37
7 Blois Foot 41 26 10 7 9 37:35 37
8 Bourges 18 26 11 4 11 30:38 37
9 Les Herbiers 26 9 10 7 37:28 37
10 Saumur Olympique 26 9 7 10 37:36 34
11 Romorantin 26 9 6 11 33:38 33
12 Avoine 26 6 8 12 23:38 26
13 Trelissac 26 3 12 11 25:42 21
14 Angers II 26 2 7 17 19:46 13
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)