Sport Picks
Sopoti Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
Albania
First Division 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sopoti Librazhd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Apolonia Fier lately — more wins on the board than Sopoti Librazhd.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Sopoti Librazhd taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sopoti Librazhd Clean Sheet 20%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sopoti Librazhd | Apolonia Fier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd
2:1
Mar 11, 2017 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
1:1
Nov 26, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd
3:2
Sep 24, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Apr 23, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Sopoti Librazhd
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sopoti Librazhd 40 / 100
Apolonia Fier 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sopoti Librazhd Apolonia Fier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sopoti Librazhd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sopoti Librazhd scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Apolonia Fier has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Sopoti Librazhd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sopoti Librazhd VS Apolonia Fier
1.2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.63
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sopoti Librazhd
(Home) 16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3 Sopoti Librazhd
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4 Besa Kavaje
05 Sept
Bylis
1 : 1 Sopoti Librazhd
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2 Sopoti Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1 Sopoti Librazhd
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4 Besa Kavaje
11 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 2 Luzi
13 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 12 Laci
19 May
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 1 Vllaznia 2
15 May
Sopoti Librazhd
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
Page 1 of 3
Apolonia Fier
(Away) 03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
18 Mar
AF Luftetari
2 : 2 Apolonia Fier
07 Mar
Laci
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iliria Kruja | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Kastrioti | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Besa Kavaje | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Terbuni Puka | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 19 |
| 5 | Mamurrasi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 17 |
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apolonia Fier | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 26 |
| 2 | Turbina Cerrik | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dinamo City | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Sopoti Librazhd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 17 |
| 5 | KF Elbasani | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:17 | 15 |
Relegation - First Division 2016/2017 (Relegation)
