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Libya vs Botswana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Tripoli International Stadium, Tripoli
Libya Logo

Libya

2 - 2
FT
Botswana Logo

Botswana

Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Kopelang T.
30' Event
Orebonye T.
Assist: Kgamanyane T.
37'
Ramoreboli M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Libya
35%
Draws
41%
Botswana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botswana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Botswana haven't matched Libya's recent run of results.
  • Libya are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Libya have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Libya, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Libya Clean Sheet 68%
Botswana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya Botswana
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Botswana
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Friendly International
Libya vs Botswana
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Libya
1:0
Jun 1, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Botswana
1:0
May 27, 2007 Friendly International
Botswana vs Libya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libya Compare

Top Goalscorer Alhibeeshi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Botswana Compare

Top Goalscorer Orebonye T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya 50 / 100
Botswana 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Botswana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Libya went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Libya VS Botswana
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya

(Home)
29 Sept
Uganda
1 : 0
Libya
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
Page 1 of 6

Botswana

(Away)
28 Sept
Tunisia
2 : 2
Botswana
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)