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Libya vs Botswana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Kraouaa A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Libya in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Libya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Libya
35%
Draws
41%
Botswana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Botswana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Libya lately — more wins on the board than Botswana.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Libya Clean Sheet 20%
Botswana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya Botswana
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Botswana
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Friendly International
Libya vs Botswana
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Libya
1:0
Jun 1, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Libya vs Botswana
1:0
May 27, 2007 Friendly International
Botswana vs Libya
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya 32 / 100
Botswana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Botswana let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Libya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Libya VS Botswana
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya

(Home)
29 Sept
Uganda
1 : 0
Libya
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
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Botswana

(Away)
28 Sept
Tunisia
2 : 2
Botswana
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
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