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Libya vs Sudan

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Al Badri F.
(Penalty)
68' Event
Abdalla Hamadalnile Ali A.
69' Event
Al Khouja O.

AI Match Summary

Libya in this Friendly International 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Libya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Libya
30%
Draws
23%
Sudan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Libya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Libya lately — more wins on the board than Sudan.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Libya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sudan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Libya Clean Sheet 20%
Sudan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Libya Sudan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.23 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Friendly International
Libya vs Sudan
2:1
Jun 19, 2021 FIFA Arab Cup
Libya vs Sudan
0:1
Feb 3, 2018 African Nations Championship
Libya vs Sudan
1:2
Dec 11, 2011 Friendly International
Libya vs Sudan
0:1
Aug 22, 2007 Friendly International
Sudan vs Libya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Libya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Khouja O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdalla Hamadalnile Ali A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Libya 76 / 100
Sudan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Libya Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Sudan let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Libya stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Libya VS Sudan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Libya

(Home)
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Libya
0 : 0
Niger
25 Nov
Palestine
1 : 0
Libya
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
13 Oct
Mauritius
0 : 0
Libya
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Sudan

(Away)
03 Jan
Senegal
3 : 1
Sudan
31 Dec
Sudan
0 : 2
Burkina Faso
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
24 Dec
Algeria
3 : 0
Sudan
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
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