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Licata vs ASD Giarre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Agudiak I.
42' Event
Samake B.
52' Event
Agudiak I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 game between Licata and ASD Giarre finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASD Giarre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Licata
35%
Draws
32%
ASD Giarre
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Licata come out ahead of ASD Giarre on wins alone.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Licata Clean Sheet 19%
ASD Giarre Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata ASD Giarre
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs ASD Giarre
1:3
Apr 27, 2022 Serie D - Group I
ASD Giarre vs Licata
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

ASD Giarre Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudiak I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Arcidiacono P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 32 / 100
ASD Giarre 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata ASD Giarre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Giarre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Licata's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

ASD Giarre has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
Page 1 of 7

ASD Giarre

(Away)
22 May
Licata
1 : 3
ASD Giarre
15 May
ASD Giarre
5 : 1
San Luca
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4
ASD Giarre
27 Apr
ASD Giarre
1 : 1
Licata
24 Apr
Castrovillari
0 : 0
ASD Giarre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)