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Licata vs Canicatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Giancotti A.
45'
Cappello A.
45'
Cappello A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Licata and Canicatti finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canicatti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Licata
20%
Draws
35%
Canicatti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Licata come out ahead of Canicatti on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata Canicatti
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Canicatti
0:3
Sep 20, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Licata
1:1
Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs Licata
0:0
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Canicatti
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Giancotti A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bonilla T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 41 / 100
Canicatti 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata Canicatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Licata's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Canicatti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
07 Oct
Trapani
1 : 2
Licata
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
Page 1 of 8

Canicatti

(Away)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)