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Licata vs Pompei

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Saito L.
52' Event
Minacori C.
90' Event
Semenzato D.

AI Match Summary

Licata in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Licata
15%
Draws
68%
Pompei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pompei lately — more wins on the board than Licata.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Pompei taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Licata Clean Sheet 20%
Pompei Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata Pompei
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Pompei
3:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Pompei vs Licata
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minacori C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Pompei Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.34

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 28 / 100
Pompei 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata Pompei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pompei conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Licata scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Licata went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pompei
0 Goals Scored 0.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
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Pompei

(Away)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)