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Licata vs Rende Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Aprile G.
19' Event
Samake B.
25' Event
Candiano M.

AI Match Summary

Licata in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Licata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Licata
30%
Draws
27%
Rende
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Licata lately — more wins on the board than Rende.
  • Licata are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%
Rende Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata Rende
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Rende
5:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Licata
1:1
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Licata
0:0
Jan 31, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Rende
1:2
Mar 23, 2014 Serie D - Group I
Rende vs Licata
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Samake B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aprile G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Rende Compare

Top Goalscorer Furina V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 59 / 100
Rende 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata Rende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Licata found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Rende conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
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Rende

(Away)
29 May
Castrovillari
0 : 0
Rende
22 May
Lamezia Terme
3 : 1
Rende
15 May
Rende
2 : 0
Real Normanna
08 May
Portici 1906
0 : 2
Rende
04 May
Rende
1 : 2
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gelbison 36 23 9 4 63:23 78
2 Cavese 36 23 8 5 58:21 77
3 AS Acireale 36 19 12 5 58:31 69
4 Lamezia Terme 36 20 9 7 58:35 69
5 S. Agata 36 16 12 8 47:31 60
6 Paterno 36 14 10 12 45:41 52
7 Cittanovese 36 16 4 16 48:56 52
8 Santa Maria Cilento 36 14 9 13 58:50 51
9 Licata 36 13 11 12 57:45 50
10 Real Normanna 36 13 10 13 36:34 49
11 Portici 1906 36 12 8 16 42:44 44
12 Trapani 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
13 San Luca 36 9 14 13 45:52 41
14 Sancataldese 36 11 7 18 34:60 40
15 ASD Giarre 36 9 12 15 33:42 39
16 Castrovillari 36 9 11 16 39:48 38
17 Rende 36 9 9 18 35:50 36
18 Troina 36 9 8 19 39:71 29
19 Biancavilla 36 3 5 28 25:83 14
20 FC Messina 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)